Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.114354 0.122830 0.131614 0.141403 0.152013 0.163172 0.175806
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.102864 0.115633 0.129549 0.145870 0.164525 0.185223 0.209985
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.093024 0.107799 0.124455 0.144679 0.168647 0.196239 0.230542
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.085657 0.101725 0.120340 0.143590 0.171976 0.205664 0.248906
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.078708 0.095424 0.115240 0.140592 0.172341 0.211019 0.262059
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.075541 0.093347 0.114912 0.143123 0.179301 0.224473 0.285660
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.070668 0.088778 0.111122 0.140926 0.179952 0.229742 0.298764
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.066788 0.085192 0.108292 0.139665 0.181550 0.236082 0.313339
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062373 0.080652 0.103948 0.136106 0.179795 0.237730 0.321446
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059156 0.077495 0.101214 0.134470 0.180421 0.242445 0.333812
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057022 0.075652 0.100096 0.134896 0.183782 0.250933 0.351752
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.054073 0.072559 0.097129 0.132592 0.183163 0.253736 0.361546
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.051877 0.070467 0.095518 0.132217 0.185402 0.260912 0.378460
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051353 0.070671 0.097092 0.136421 0.194421 0.278316 0.411623
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049156 0.068407 0.095073 0.135312 0.195555 0.284109 0.427347
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047155 0.066325 0.093204 0.134302 0.196729 0.289931 0.443316
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044764 0.063577 0.090247 0.131520 0.195049 0.291264 0.452150
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044018 0.063193 0.090711 0.133868 0.201289 0.305041 0.481657
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042094 0.060983 0.088377 0.131830 0.200576 0.307827 0.493226
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040524 0.059240 0.086665 0.130660 0.201144 0.312619 0.508306
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038490 0.056718 0.083675 0.127355 0.198127 0.311434 0.513105
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.037027 0.055015 0.081868 0.125837 0.197909 0.314774 0.525794
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036119 0.054129 0.081283 0.126232 0.200816 0.323381 0.548085